Trading Order Out of Chaos
A favorite investment technique that has been publicized widely is trend-following. Everybody has heard of the Turtle Traders, a group of novices trained by Richard Dennis in the art of channel-breakouts, a system developed decades earlier by Richard Donchian. In this article we will look at the current performance of trend-following in the Western futures markets, and see if we can’t find better performance in other markets. As previous mentor of mine always said: it’s not so much ab…
Kelly betting is an optimal approach to allocating capital to your system. In this article I want to show you how to apply this approach to your trading, and more importantly what kind of interesting questions you can answer using the ideas behind Kelly betting, in particular: “How long does it take to double my money?” First let’s start out with a simple example and progress to actual markets and trading systems. The example is as follows, and tends to be an interview question for a…
This script will allow you to download into a csv file the relevant news events going back to 2007 from ForexFactor. This includes actuals, forecasts, and revisions, as well as time-stamps. It’s a great way to obtain free data that otherwise would cost you an arm and a leg! You might have to install some of the modules required, but this should be straightforward in most Python installs. Happy pattern hunting!!