Trading Order Out of Chaos
Mean Reversion trading works for equities; and currencies. We saw in the last article how combining two simple ideas for equities produced a stable system over the last 30 years. Can we repeat a similar analysis for currencies? Yes! However, be warned. Currency trading is a different magnitude of difficulty to equity trading. Currency traders […]
I’ve written several articles on what happens during news announcements, and associated quick trading strategies. But from a regular trader’s perspective, surely there must be another way to approach these things. In this article I’ll given an overview as to how to trade these news announcements in a slightly more leisurely way, and see if […]
The London Breakout Strategy falls under the category of Open Range Breakout as developed by Toby Crabel. In this article we’ll look at some results with regards to this strategy, as well different ways of trading it. Let’s start out with the notion of Open Range Breakout. The key concept behind this strategy is that […]
Kelly betting is an optimal approach to allocating capital to your system. In this article I want to show you how to apply this approach to your trading, and more importantly what kind of interesting questions you can answer using the ideas behind Kelly betting, in particular: “How long does it take to double my […]
This is the third article in the series on trading the Bullish and Bearish Engulfing candle stick patterns. Following on from Part I and Part II, we will look at trading the short signals for AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, and USDCAD. Let’s recap the results for the long side: We used hourly rolling bars to […]
Backtesting and Over-Leverage are the bane of any systematic trader. A shout out to Peter who raised both these points on the previous article in the series: Trading Numbers So, what are the two issues we’ll address in this week’s article:And to all those who don’t like spoilers: (2) will be covered in more detail later in this article series, so close your eyes; but foll…
- Look ahead bias, and is it really that bad?
- Kelly is always touted as optimal. Is it really that optimal?
Would you like to build consistently profitable trading systems from scratch? This article series does exactly that. Here are the steps which we’ll work through:That’s the theory. In this article-series we’ll go a step further and look at how to implemen…
- Define the underlying principles of a successful trading approach
- Determine the assets which obey these principles
- Determine rule sets for trading these assets
- Work out a straightforward portfolio construction method
I understand how tedious it can be to have to manually write all the trades out. And MT4 is the worst at making your trade history accessible. This script will produce a csv file of your entire account history. It will enable you to ask some pertinent questions and work out relevant stats. You’ll find details on calculating the right trade-stats in the blog posts on this site. The output is stored in the C:\Users\XXX\AppData\Roaming\MetaQuotes\Terminal\<Funny Hex Number>\MQL4\Files dire…