Trading Order Out of Chaos
Mean Reversion trading works for equities; and currencies. We saw in the last article how combining two simple ideas for equities produced a stable system over the last 30 years. Can we repeat a similar analysis for currencies? Yes! However, be warned. Currency trading is a different magnitude of difficulty to equity trading. Currency traders […]
I’ve written several articles on what happens during news announcements, and associated quick trading strategies. But from a regular trader’s perspective, surely there must be another way to approach these things. In this article I’ll given an overview as to how to trade these news announcements in a slightly more leisurely way, and see if […]
The London Breakout Strategy falls under the category of Open Range Breakout as developed by Toby Crabel. In this article we’ll look at some results with regards to this strategy, as well different ways of trading it. Let’s start out with the notion of Open Range Breakout. The key concept behind this strategy is that […]
Kelly betting is an optimal approach to allocating capital to your system. In this article I want to show you how to apply this approach to your trading, and more importantly what kind of interesting questions you can answer using the ideas behind Kelly betting, in particular: “How long does it take to double my […]
This is the third article in the series on trading the Bullish and Bearish Engulfing candle stick patterns. Following on from Part I and Part II, we will look at trading the short signals for AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, and USDCAD. Let’s recap the results for the long side: We used hourly rolling bars to […]
It’s useful to be able to add a trailing stop to your trades. Given I never got my head around the MT4 functionality I wrote this small EA, which does the job. Place it on top of the currency chart and give in the number of pips by which it should trail your trades. You need to put it on currency charts for which you have trades. So if you have USDJPY trades put the EA on an USDJPY chart. This EA will not trail stops for trades that have a non-zero magic number. So if you have trad…
Would you like to build consistently profitable trading systems from scratch? This article series does exactly that. Here are the steps which we’ll work through:That’s the theory. In this article-series we’ll go a step further and look at how to implemen…
- Define the underlying principles of a successful trading approach
- Determine the assets which obey these principles
- Determine rule sets for trading these assets
- Work out a straightforward portfolio construction method
I’ve been asked lots of questions as to how to determine the next moves in GBPUSD. There have been many arguments for a bottoming out at the current levels, as well as for a continuation given the strength of the downward move experienced post Brexit. In this article I’ll try to get a handle on possible outcomes, by looking at some fundamental indicators and see where they point to for sterling over the next couple of months. The longer term perspective will be more difficult to gau…