Trading Order Out of Chaos
Market timing refers to the fact that by judiciously choosing entry and exit methods in a given market you can out-perform buy-and-hold. The first question of course is why you should buy-and-hold in the first place. The idea stems from the equity markets. Historically they have risen. The famous chart of course is the S&P […]
Equities mean-reversion works right now. And as part of Building Consistently Profitable Trading Systems it forms a key component. In this article we’ll present the final version of the mean-reversion system to form part of the trading toolbox, and the final portfolio. It’s the Larry Connor’s RSI2 strategy. And it’s based on the two concepts we covered in Equities and Their Mean Reversion Habits:
- Looking for a series of down days
- Looking for reversion towards a short dated movi…
Market timing refers to the fact that by judiciously choosing entry and exit methods in a given market you can out-perform buy-and-hold. The first question of course is why you should buy-and-hold in the first place. The idea stems from the equity markets. Historically they have risen. The famous chart of course is the S&P 500 over the last 65 years:So why should this happen? Economic reasoning is behind this argument. Long term macro and micro economic gro… S&P 500 since 1965
In the previous article we set out to cover a new asset class: Bond investments. We saw how by including bonds together with stocks we could improve on our portfolio performance. Is this mixture still good given that we are now shifting in the interest rate cycle to a Bond Bear Market? In this article we go about calculating the Bond Index going back 120 years to answer this question. Here is a chart since 1960 of US 1 and 10 year rates:W… Current Interest Rate Cycle and Rising Rates
In this week’s article I cover the right approach to benchmarking your performance using the standard risk measures out there. In particular we’ll start out by outlining how the Sharpe Ratio relates to the usual performance measures such as Win/Loss ration or Return/Maximum Draw-Down ratios. This will allow you to see if you are on track or not, and adjust your trading accordingly. The purpose is to put risk measurement into context and relate your trading statistics to optimal wealth accum…
