Trading Order Out of Chaos
Market timing refers to the fact that by judiciously choosing entry and exit methods in a given market you can out-perform buy-and-hold. The first question of course is why you should buy-and-hold in the first place. The idea stems from the equity markets. Historically they have risen. The famous chart of course is the S&P […]
A favorite investment technique that has been publicized widely is trend-following. Everybody has heard of the Turtle Traders, a group of novices trained by Richard Dennis in the art of channel-breakouts, a system developed decades earlier by Richard Donchian. In this article we will look at the current performance of trend-following in the Western futures markets, and see if we can’t find better performance in other markets. As previous mentor of mine always said: it’s not so much ab…
This script will allow you to download into a csv file the relevant news events going back to 2007 from ForexFactor. This includes actuals, forecasts, and revisions, as well as time-stamps. It’s a great way to obtain free data that otherwise would cost you an arm and a leg! You might have to install some of the modules required, but this should be straightforward in most Python installs. Happy pattern hunting!!
In previous articles I’ve written about the idea of Kelly betting or using leverage to really boost the growth of your returns. I’ve also shown how different fundamental components work together to create an FX Benchmark index. This article is slightly different. I want to keep it KISS: “Keep It Simple Stupid.” I will show you how to combine several instruments (three in actuality), which will create a Hedge Fund Benchmark. And then we apply leverage to this index, and see wha…
Would you like to build consistently profitable trading systems from scratch? This article series does exactly that. Here are the steps which we’ll work through:That’s the theory. In this article-series we’ll go a step further and look at how to implemen…
- Define the underlying principles of a successful trading approach
- Determine the assets which obey these principles
- Determine rule sets for trading these assets
- Work out a straightforward portfolio construction method