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You are here: Home / Archives for Kelly

November 8, 2017 by Corvin Codirla Leave a Comment

Equities Mean Reversion

Equities Mean Reversion

Equities mean-reversion works right now. And as part of Building Consistently Profitable Trading Systems it forms a key component. In this article we’ll present the final version of the mean-reversion system to form part of the trading toolbox, and the final portfolio. It’s the Larry Connor’s RSI2 strategy.  And it’s based on the two concepts […]

Filed Under: Trading Strategies Tagged With: Backtest, Kelly, Performance Measures, Sharpe Ratio, SP500, Trading Systems

October 24, 2017 by Corvin Codirla Leave a Comment

How to Implement Leverage Using Kelly Betting

How to Implement Leverage Using Kelly Betting

Over the last four articles people have been writing in, asking, “How do you deduce leverage from your backtests?” “How do you actually implement leverage in your trading?” “How do you calculate position size?” “How often do you rebalance?” So, to keep this series as hands on and close to reality as possible, this article […]

Filed Under: Money Management Tagged With: Backtest, Kelly, SP500, Trading Systems

October 10, 2017 by Corvin Codirla 1 Comment

Dangers of Backtesting, Over-Leverage and the Need for a Protective Stop

Dangers of Backtesting, Over-Leverage and the Need for a Protective Stop

Backtesting and Over-Leverage are the bane of any systematic trader. A shout out to Peter who raised both these points on the previous article in the series: Trading Numbers So, what are the two issues we’ll address in this week’s article: Look ahead bias, and is it really that bad? Kelly is always touted as […]

Filed Under: Money Management Tagged With: Backtest, Kelly, Sharpe Ratio, SP500, Trading Systems

April 18, 2016 by Corvin Codirla Leave a Comment

Market Timing

Market Timing

Market timing refers to the fact that by judiciously choosing entry and exit methods in a given market you can out-perform buy-and-hold. The first question of course is why you should buy-and-hold in the first place. The idea stems from the equity markets.  Historically they have risen.  The famous chart of course is the S&P […]

Filed Under: Forex Trading Strategies, Trading Strategies Tagged With: Backtest, FX, Kelly, Market Timing, Sharpe Ratio, SP500, Trading Systems

April 6, 2016 by Corvin Codirla 3 Comments

Money Growth: Trade it Like a Hedge Fund

Money Growth: Trade it Like a Hedge Fund

In previous articles I’ve written about the idea of Kelly betting or using leverage to really boost the growth of your returns.  I’ve also shown how different fundamental components work together to create an FX Benchmark index. This article is slightly different.  I want to keep it KISS: “Keep It Simple Stupid.”  I will show […]

Filed Under: Money Management, Trading Strategies Tagged With: Bonds, Commodities, Kelly, Performance Measures, Risk Parity, Sharpe Ratio, SP500

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