FXMasterCourse

Trading Order Out of Chaos

You are here: Home / Archives for PPP

by 13 Comments

Trading Currencies using Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)

In this post I want to cover one of the factors that enters into the creation of the benchmark index outlined in my Trading Approach. This factor is called Value, and provides an underlying fundamental reason for trading various currencies. To explain value let’s assume that the water company Evian sells an identical bottle of […]

Testimonials

Short update on AUDUSD and the AIG Construction index on the 7th January, 2016, 22:30 GMT. There is a reason ForexFactory labelled this as yellow (which seems to be the lowest importance rating they give to news releases). The market was completely comatose, both from a tick count per minute basis, as well as from the perspective of the bid/ask: was wide / stayed wide / couldn’t be bothered. And of course AUDUSD stayed where it was as well. However, both of these are poor indications to dra…
More on AUDUSD dynamics and News Events: what happens when the event is not important?
EURUSD tick data for the period 13th March 2016 to 18th March 2016. Zip file contains CSV files for each day. The format of the CSV files are: Local Time, Server Time, Server Time Milliseconds, Bid, Ask. The time resolution is in seconds. This means that there can be multiple quotes per second.
Tick Data EURUSD, 20160313 - 20160318, Broker 1
EURUSD tick data for the period 21st February 2016 to 26th February 2016. Zip file contains CSV files for each day. The format of the CSV files are: Local Time, Server Time, Server Time Milliseconds, Bid, Ask. The time resolution is in seconds. This means that there can be multiple quotes per second.
Tick Data EURUSD , 20160221 – 20160226, Broker1
EURUSD tick data for the period 17th January 2016 to 22th January 2016. Zip file contains CSV files for each day. The format of the CSV files are: Local Time, Server Time, Server Time Milliseconds, Bid, Ask. The time resolution is in seconds. This means that there can be multiple quotes per second.
Tick Data EURUSD , 20160117 – 20160122, Broker1
Welcome
“Greed is good”, but one shouldn’t always assume that the counterparty won’t notice. Last Wednesday, 27th January 2016, was FOMC day, news event day, and the markets went ape. Following on from the previous articles the idea was to continue to exploit the observed quote outages and extract value. Turns out that (presumably as expected), brokers aren’t that slow on their feet. I was moved from B-book status (i.e. rookie / loser status) to A-book status. Let’s just say that exces…
FOMC Day: How the Golden Goose got cooked – Getting my A-book status
This indicator will average the bid / ask spread over the last N ticks. The purpose is to be able to monitor the behavior of the currency pair during fast markets, such as occur before and during news announcements. It’s useful for indicating times of increased danger, and can be used as a possible flag to square positions. The parameters are:
  • MA: the number of ticks to average the bid/ask spread over.  The default is set to 30 ticks
  • showTickCount: a boolean flag, which when set t…
Average Bid/Ask MT4 Indicator
Wouldn’t it be great to forecast what the outcome economic news-releases would be?  News trading is a favourite for many traders, professionals and novice alike. For the long-term trader who holds positions over several days or weeks it might lead to clues as to the next big trend. For intra-day traders it can be a treacherous path. Usually day traders end up losing money, usually because of massive slippage on their stop-orders followed by knock-outs on their protective stops because o…
A Painful Way of Learning NOT to Trade the News: a Lesson for Day Traders: ADP Slippage and the EURUSD
This script will allow you to download into a csv file the relevant news events going back to 2007 from ForexFactor. This includes actuals, forecasts, and revisions, as well as time-stamps. It’s a great way to obtain free data that otherwise would cost you an arm and a leg! You might have to install some of the modules required, but this should be straightforward in most Python installs. Happy pattern hunting!!
ForexFactory Python Script