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You are here: Home / Archives for Seasonality

January 19, 2016 by Corvin Codirla 2 Comments

How to Trade the Start of the Year: Guide to Stress-Free Positioning

Most people are familiar with the term ORB (open range breakout). It was popularized by Toby Crabel’s book “Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns and Opening Range Breakout”, as well as the The Logical Trader: Applying a Method to the Madness (Wiley Trading) by Mark Fisher. ORB uses the price range set at the […]

Filed Under: Forex Trading Strategies Tagged With: AUDUSD, EURGBP, EURJPY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, Gold, NZDUSD, ORB, Seasonality, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY

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ADP AUDUSD Backtest Bid Ask Bonds Breakout CHFJPY Commodities ECB Economic Indicators Economic Releases Emerging Markets Engulfing Candles Equities EURCHF EURSEK EURUSD FOMC FX G10 GBPUSD HFT Kelly Market Timing Mean Reversion Moon News Events News Trading NFP ORB Performance Measures PPP Python Range Expansion Recession Risk Parity Sharpe Ratio Slippage Solar Eclipse SP500 Trading Systems USD USDCAD USDCHF USDJPY

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Python Backtesting

In Part 1 we used simple Python to Improve our Backtesting times.  Starting out with DataFrames we took a simple RSI strategy over a period of 7000 days and reduced from 7.3 seconds (which is a complete joke; sorry Pandas!) down to 0.003 seconds by converting everything to lists. But if you recall the comparison table at the end of Part 1

ImplementationTime for RSI2 Backtests
Python – Lists0.003s
Java0.00005s
C0.…
Improving your Python Backtesting – From DataFrames to Cython [Part 2]
Equities Mean Reversion
Equities mean-reversion works right now. And as part of Building Consistently Profitable Trading Systems it forms a key component. In this article we’ll present the final version of the mean-reversion system to form part of the trading toolbox, and the final portfolio. It’s the Larry Connor’s RSI2 strategy.  And it’s based on the two concepts we covered in Equities and Their Mean Reversion Habits:
  • Looking for a series of down days
  • Looking for reversion towards a short dated movi… Read more
Equities Mean Reversion
EURUSD tick data for the period 31st January 2016 to 5th February 2016. Zip file contains CSV files for each day. The format of the CSV files are: Local Time, Server Time, Server Time Milliseconds, Bid, Ask. The time resolution is in seconds. This means that there can be multiple quotes per second.
Tick Data EURUSD , 20160131 – 20160205, Broker1
EURUSD tick data for the period 14th February 2016 to 19th February 2016. Zip file contains CSV files for each day. The format of the CSV files are: Local Time, Server Time, Server Time Milliseconds, Bid, Ask. The time resolution is in seconds. This means that there can be multiple quotes per second.
Tick Data EURUSD , 20160214 – 20160219, Broker1
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Mean Reversion Currency Trading
Mean Reversion trading works for equities; and currencies. We saw in the last article how combining two simple ideas for equities produced a stable system over the last 30 years. Can we repeat a similar analysis for currencies? Yes!  However, be warned.  Currency trading is a different magnitude of difficulty to equity trading.   Currency traders have had a real tough time since 2008 (take a look at the BTOP Barclay Hedge Currency Trader Index). As always it depends which pond yo… Read more
Trading Mean Reversion in Currencies

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