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How to Trade the Start of the Year: Guide to Stress-Free Positioning

Most people are familiar with the term ORB (open range breakout). It was popularized by Toby Crabel’s book “Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns and Opening Range Breakout”, as well as the The Logical Trader: Applying a Method to the Madness (Wiley Trading) by Mark Fisher. ORB uses the price range set at the […]

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Market Reaction to NFPs on 8th January 2016

Following on in the series of Market Dynamics the NFPs presented a great opportunity to take a closer look at what happens during important news events. I’ve learned my lesson by now: don’t trade during news events. And this is especially true of stop orders in these situations. Price will just hop straight through. When […]

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Most people are familiar with the term ORB (open range breakout). It was popularized by Toby Crabel’s book “Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns and Opening Range Breakout”, as well as the The Logical Trader: Applying a Method to the Madness (Wiley Trading) by Mark Fisher. ORB uses the price range set at the start of a trading period to determine the future price moves, using a breakout-style approach. In this article we’re going to apply this principle to the FX market using a who…
How to Trade the Start of the Year: Guide to Stress-Free Positioning
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I’ve written several articles on what happens during news announcements, and associated quick trading strategies.  But from a regular trader’s perspective, surely there must be another way to approach these things. In this article I’ll given an overview as to how to trade these news announcements in a slightly more leisurely way, and see if there is anything to be had out of trading against market hysteria.  The instrument of choice will be the EURUSD, though you can pick any other inst…
Trading News Announcements Systematically: EURUSD and Non-Farm Payrolls
Many people ask if there are any particular technical setups that I like to look at and what the best way to trade them is. My all-time favorite heavily involves Support and Resistance levels, and using these as breakout levels. The art lies in finding them and then managing trades appropriately. In this article we’ll focus on using Bullish and Bearish Engulfing Bars to identify support and resistance levels, and present the analysis that goes behind implementing such a system. Implementati…
Bullish & Bearish Engulfing Bars (Part I)
Taking Control of Your Trading Numbers is Taking Control of Your Profits
Taking Control of Your Trading Numbers – that means actually being able to replicate the results that others produce.  It’s the only way to be sure that you know what’s going on. Well, many people got back after last week’s article asking about the details of the calculations as well as about some of the more technical jargon:
  • What do I mean by asset?
  • What’s an asset bias?
  • What does it mean to risk-adjust returns?
  • How can I go about calculating the charts in the article?
  • How …
Taking Control of Your Trading Numbers
EURUSD tick data for the period 10th April 2016 to 15th April 2016. Zip file contains CSV files for each day. The format of the CSV files are: Local Time, Server Time, Server Time Milliseconds, Bid, Ask. The time resolution is in seconds. This means that there can be multiple quotes per second.
Tick Data EURUSD, 20160410 - 20160415, Broker 1
EURUSD tick data for the period 6th March 2016 to 11th March 2016. Zip file contains CSV files for each day. The format of the CSV files are: Local Time, Server Time, Server Time Milliseconds, Bid, Ask. The time resolution is in seconds. This means that there can be multiple quotes per second.
Tick Data EURUSD, 20160306 - 20160311, Broker 1