In this section I will be including Excel spreadsheets, Python or R scripts, and Matlab scripts which are useful in illustrating certain market concepts or performing relevant calculations.
Trading Order Out of Chaos
In this section I will be including Excel spreadsheets, Python or R scripts, and Matlab scripts which are useful in illustrating certain market concepts or performing relevant calculations.
Table of Contents
ToggleHigh Frequency trading has become both the poster-boy and the scapegoat over the last couple of years in trading circles. It’s been seen as a sure-fire way of making money, as well as a sneaky way the flash-boys tax all the other participants in the market. In this article I want to cover some of the basics of High-Frequency Trading, as well as how it applies to trading from your “Living Room.” An example of such trading from your own private realm is the following P&L chart showing profits i… Read more
EURUSD tick data for the period 6th March 2016 to 11th March 2016. Zip file contains CSV files for each day. The format of the CSV files are: Local Time, Server Time, Server Time Milliseconds, Bid, Ask. The time resolution is in seconds. This means that there can be multiple quotes per second.
I’ve been asked lots of questions as to how to determine the next moves in GBPUSD. There have been many arguments for a bottoming out at the current levels, as well as for a continuation given the strength of the downward move experienced post Brexit. In this article I’ll try to get a handle on possible outcomes, by looking at some fundamental indicators and see where they point to for sterling over the next couple of months. The longer term perspective will be more difficult to gau… Read more
Market timing refers to the fact that by judiciously choosing entry and exit methods in a given market you can out-perform buy-and-hold. The first question of course is why you should buy-and-hold in the first place. The idea stems from the equity markets. Historically they have risen. The famous chart of course is the S&P 500 over the last 65 years: So why should this happen? Economic reasoning is behind this argument. Long term macro and micro economic gro… Read more
Equities mean-reversion works right now. And as part of Building Consistently Profitable Trading Systems it forms a key component. In this article we’ll present the final version of the mean-reversion system to form part of the trading toolbox, and the final portfolio. It’s the Larry Connor’s RSI2 strategy. And it’s based on the two concepts we covered in Equities and Their Mean Reversion Habits:
- Looking for a series of down days
- Looking for reversion towards a short dated movi… Read more
A favorite investment technique that has been publicized widely is trend-following. Everybody has heard of the Turtle Traders, a group of novices trained by Richard Dennis in the art of channel-breakouts, a system developed decades earlier by Richard Donchian. In this article we will look at the current performance of trend-following in the Western futures markets, and see if we can’t find better performance in other markets. As previous mentor of mine always said: it’s not so much ab… Read more
Taking control of your trading numbers is very important. Here is an example of how straight forward it can be to run backtests in Excel. If you want to follow along in the article series, follow the link: Taking Control of Your Trading Numbers
Following on in the series of Market Dynamics the NFPs presented a great opportunity to take a closer look at what happens during important news events. I’ve learned my lesson by now: don’t trade during news events. And this is especially true of stop orders in these situations. Price will just hop straight through. When it does the fill is awful, and the worst part, as happened on Friday: it reverts very quickly hitting any protective stops. The outcome? You book losses which could… Read more