S&P 500 with 12 Momentum applied. Dividends included
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Trading Order Out of Chaos
Mean Reversion trading works for equities; and currencies. We saw in the last article how combining two simple ideas for equities produced a stable system over the last 30 years. Can we repeat a similar analysis for currencies? Yes! However, be warned. Currency trading is a different magnitude of difficulty to equity trading. Currency traders have had a real tough time since 2008 (take a look at the BTOP Barclay Hedge Currency Trader Index). As always it depends which pond yo… Read more
A favorite investment technique that has been publicized widely is trend-following. Everybody has heard of the Turtle Traders, a group of novices trained by Richard Dennis in the art of channel-breakouts, a system developed decades earlier by Richard Donchian. In this article we will look at the current performance of trend-following in the Western futures markets, and see if we can’t find better performance in other markets. As previous mentor of mine always said: it’s not so much ab… Read more
This spreadsheet goes in tandem with the article on Trading Like a Hedge Fund Manager. The charts are replicated in here, as well as the calculations, so you can follow along. The data is taken from finance.yahoo.com for the ETF products SPY, AGG, and GSG. Kelly betting is applied to maximize the returns.
EURUSD tick data for the period 6th March 2016 to 11th March 2016. Zip file contains CSV files for each day. The format of the CSV files are: Local Time, Server Time, Server Time Milliseconds, Bid, Ask. The time resolution is in seconds. This means that there can be multiple quotes per second.
EURUSD tick data for the period 21st February 2016 to 26th February 2016. Zip file contains CSV files for each day. The format of the CSV files are: Local Time, Server Time, Server Time Milliseconds, Bid, Ask. The time resolution is in seconds. This means that there can be multiple quotes per second.
PBOC fixings have become a fixture (at least for the last couple of days). With the big sell-off in the CSI China is trying to inject liquidity into the market and doing so in different ways. For the FX market it’s been a weakening of the reference rate. Here are the rates over the last couple of days (versus the USD): Of course the market cottoned on to the PBOC’s desperation, and the rout continued. The effect on the Asian time-zone currencies was worth noting. We already covere… Read more
EURUSD tick data for the period 24th January 2016 to 29th January 2016. Zip file contains CSV files for each day. The format of the CSV files are: Local Time, Server Time, Server Time Milliseconds, Bid, Ask. The time resolution is in seconds. This means that there can be multiple quotes per second.
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