USDCAD Archives - FXMasterCourse

March 1, 2016 by Corvin Codirla 1 Comment

Bullish & Bearish Engulfing Bars (Part III)

This is the third article in the series on trading the Bullish and Bearish Engulfing candle stick patterns. Following on from Part I and Part II, we will look at trading the short signals for AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, and USDCAD. Let’s recap the results for the long side: We used hourly rolling bars to […]

February 23, 2016 by Corvin Codirla Leave a Comment

Bullish & Bearish Engulfing Bars (Part II)

This is the second article in the series of trading the Bullish and Bearish Engulfing candle stick patterns. Following on from Part I, we will actually perform some backtests using the results we found in Part I. In Part I, we split up the analysis for long and short trades separately. Here we will keep […]

January 19, 2016 by Corvin Codirla 2 Comments

How to Trade the Start of the Year: Guide to Stress-Free Positioning

Most people are familiar with the term ORB (open range breakout). It was popularized by Toby Crabel’s book “Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns and Opening Range Breakout”, as well as the The Logical Trader: Applying a Method to the Madness (Wiley Trading) by Mark Fisher. ORB uses the price range set at the […]

Following on in the series of Market Dynamics the NFPs presented a great opportunity to take a closer look at what happens during important news events. I’ve learned my lesson by now: don’t trade during news events. And this is especially true of stop orders in these situations. Price will just hop straight through. When it does the fill is awful, and the worst part, as happened on Friday: it reverts very quickly hitting any protective stops. The outcome? You book losses which could… Read more

Market Reaction to NFPs on 8th January 2016

As discussed in the articles on Bullish and Bearish Engulfing Bars, this indicator highlights the bars, and allows you to implement those trading strategies. The only input is an offset as to where to put the arrows indicating the bars in pips. This is best placed on an hourly chart. The indicator will loot at the previous 8 bars, and check to see if the first group of four hourly bars engulfs the previous four hourly bars. This is then rolled over with every new hourly bar.

Bullish and Bearish Engulfing Bars

I’ve written several articles on what happens during news announcements, and associated quick trading strategies. But from a regular trader’s perspective, surely there must be another way to approach these things. In this article I’ll given an overview as to how to trade these news announcements in a slightly more leisurely way, and see if there is anything to be had out of trading against market hysteria. The instrument of choice will be the EURUSD, though you can pick any other inst… Read more

Trading News Announcements Systematically: EURUSD and Non-Farm Payrolls

This week’s article is more tongue in cheek: do natural phenomena affect the markets? What we’ll be particularly looking at are the full moon, new moon, and solar eclipses, especially since we had one on the 9^th March this year. Back in 2005 I wrote a similar article at Barclays Capital for the weekly quant newsletter we sent out to clients. It was a summer lull, and it seemed like a swell idea. The results back then indicated that it was the New Moon rather than the Full Moon that really imp… Read more

Effect of Lunar Phases and Solar Eclipses on the Currency Markets

Equity Mean Reversion

At last! We’ve made it to the mean-reverting part of the series, starting with our focus on equities and their mean-reversion habits. So, here’s the deal. We’re going to keep it simple, just like in the previous three posts, and start from the ground up. Over the following series we’ll culminate in a simple, straightforward (and well known) system that still works. In detail for this article:

What do we mean by mean-reversion and how can we measure it?

What are some natural meth… Read more

Equities and Their Mean Reversion Habits