Trading Order Out of Chaos
I’ve written several articles on what happens during news announcements, and associated quick trading strategies. But from a regular trader’s perspective, surely there must be another way to approach these things. In this article I’ll given an overview as to how to trade these news announcements in a slightly more leisurely way, and see if […]
This script will allow you to download into a csv file the relevant news events going back to 2007 from ForexFactor. This includes actuals, forecasts, and revisions, as well as time-stamps. It’s a great way to obtain free data that otherwise would cost you an arm and a leg! You might have to install some […]
“Greed is good”, but one shouldn’t always assume that the counterparty won’t notice. Last Wednesday, 27th January 2016, was FOMC day, news event day, and the markets went ape. Following on from the previous articles the idea was to continue to exploit the observed quote outages and extract value. Turns out that (presumably as expected), […]
Following from the previous article HFT from Your Livin Room I’m going to show you what the EURUSD price data from the 21st January, 2016, looked like post the ECB interest rate announcement and press conference. The focus will be in particular on the consistency of the price streaming of a retail broker, and how […]
High Frequency trading has become both the poster-boy and the scapegoat over the last couple of years in trading circles. It’s been seen as a sure-fire way of making money, as well as a sneaky way the flash-boys tax all the other participants in the market. In this article I want to cover some of […]
Equities mean-reversion works right now. And as part of Building Consistently Profitable Trading Systems it forms a key component. In this article we’ll present the final version of the mean-reversion system to form part of the trading toolbox, and the final portfolio. It’s the Larry Connor’s RSI2 strategy. And it’s based on the two concepts we covered in Equities and Their Mean Reversion Habits:
- Looking for a series of down days
- Looking for reversion towards a short dated movi…
It’s useful to be able to add a trailing stop to your trades. Given I never got my head around the MT4 functionality I wrote this small EA, which does the job. Place it on top of the currency chart and give in the number of pips by which it should trail your trades. You need to put it on currency charts for which you have trades. So if you have USDJPY trades put the EA on an USDJPY chart. This EA will not trail stops for trades that have a non-zero magic number. So if you have trad…
This script will allow you to download into a csv file the relevant news events going back to 2007 from ForexFactor. This includes actuals, forecasts, and revisions, as well as time-stamps. It’s a great way to obtain free data that otherwise would cost you an arm and a leg! You might have to install some of the modules required, but this should be straightforward in most Python installs. Happy pattern hunting!!
This spreadsheet goes in tandem with the article on Trading Like a Hedge Fund Manager. The charts are replicated in here, as well as the calculations, so you can follow along. The data is taken from finance.yahoo.com for the ETF products SPY, AGG, and GSG. Kelly betting is applied to maximize the returns.
Backtesting and Over-Leverage are the bane of any systematic trader. A shout out to Peter who raised both these points on the previous article in the series: Trading Numbers So, what are the two issues we’ll address in this week’s article:And to all those who don’t like spoilers: (2) will be covered in more detail later in this article series, so close your eyes; but foll…
- Look ahead bias, and is it really that bad?
- Kelly is always touted as optimal. Is it really that optimal?