Trading Order Out of Chaos
by Corvin Codirla Leave a Comment
Over the last four articles people have been writing in, asking, “How do you deduce leverage from your backtests?” “How do you actually implement leverage in your trading?” “How do you calculate position size?” “How often do you rebalance?” So, to keep this series as hands on and close to reality as possible, this article focuses on the practical aspects of implementing leverage on your account (and no, the margin your Broker indicates, such as 1:400 doesn’t coun… Read more
This week’s article is more tongue in cheek: do natural phenomena affect the markets? What we’ll be particularly looking at are the full moon, new moon, and solar eclipses, especially since we had one on the 9th March this year. Back in 2005 I wrote a similar article at Barclays Capital for the weekly quant newsletter we sent out to clients. It was a summer lull, and it seemed like a swell idea. The results back then indicated that it was the New Moon rather than the Full Moon that really imp… Read more
This XLS shows the calculations which were performed in the Kelly Criteria article. The data included are the SPY ETF historical prices as well as the backtest results from the London Breakout Strategy applied to the EURUSD. Here you can see how to calculate the optimal leverage on your favourite asset class or your favourite trading strategy. Please read the article to see what the caveats are and what riding out a full Kelly might possibly lead to.
I’ve written several articles on what happens during news announcements, and associated quick trading strategies. But from a regular trader’s perspective, surely there must be another way to approach these things. In this article I’ll given an overview as to how to trade these news announcements in a slightly more leisurely way, and see if there is anything to be had out of trading against market hysteria. The instrument of choice will be the EURUSD, though you can pick any other inst… Read more
This is the second article in the series of trading the Bullish and Bearish Engulfing candle stick patterns. Following on from Part I, we will actually perform some backtests using the results we found in Part I. In Part I, we split up the analysis for long and short trades separately. Here we will keep to this approach. The justification is that there need be no symmetry between the long & short approach. This is especially true for equity systems, where bear markets have distinct dynamics f… Read more
Of all things on this planet?! Aren’t they boring? Not explosive enough? Isn’t this stuff what old people invest in? Also, aren’t they supposed to start to sell-off? And how do you get your hands on these over the counter instruments. In the first article of this series on Creating Profitable Trading Strategies we started with the premise that you need to look at assets and their underlying biases. We covered equities. They’re exciting. Buffett makes 19.1% a year on them. An… Read more
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