Naive Trend Following on GSCI vs CTAs
Trading Order Out of Chaos
EURUSD tick data for the period 13th March 2016 to 18th March 2016. Zip file contains CSV files for each day. The format of the CSV files are: Local Time, Server Time, Server Time Milliseconds, Bid, Ask. The time resolution is in seconds. This means that there can be multiple quotes per second.
This indicator will average the bid / ask spread over the last N ticks. The purpose is to be able to monitor the behavior of the currency pair during fast markets, such as occur before and during news announcements. It’s useful for indicating times of increased danger, and can be used as a possible flag to square positions. The parameters are:
- MA: the number of ticks to average the bid/ask spread over. The default is set to 30 ticks
- showTickCount: a boolean flag, which when set t… Read more
Intro
Backtesting is every systematic trader’s basic tool. And Python is becoming the lingua franca of programming. So putting Python into Backtesting to get fast results should be possible!
Yes and no!
In this article, we’ll cover how to really improve your Python backtesting and boost your speeds by several orders of magnitude!
High Frequency trading has become both the poster-boy and the scapegoat over the last couple of years in trading circles. It’s been seen as a sure-fire way of making money, as well as a sneaky way the flash-boys tax all the other participants in the market. In this article I want to cover some of the basics of High-Frequency Trading, as well as how it applies to trading from your “Living Room.” An example of such trading from your own private realm is the following P&L chart showing profits i… Read more
In this post I want to cover one of the factors that enters into the creation of the benchmark index outlined in my Trading Approach. This factor is called Value, and provides an underlying fundamental reason for trading various currencies. To explain value let’s assume that the water company Evian sells an identical bottle of water both in the UK and in the US. These two bottles are identical. Same water, same glass bottle, same label, same everything. In essence a tourist from the US coul… Read more
Backtesting and Over-Leverage are the bane of any systematic trader. A shout out to Peter who raised both these points on the previous article in the series: Trading Numbers So, what are the two issues we’ll address in this week’s article:And to all those who don’t like spoilers: (2) will be covered in more detail later in this article series, so close your eyes; but foll… Read more
- Look ahead bias, and is it really that bad?
- Kelly is always touted as optimal. Is it really that optimal?
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