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You are here: Home / Archives for Market Timing

October 2, 2018 by Corvin Codirla Leave a Comment

Calculating Bond Index Prices: Analyzing the Bond Bear Market

Calculating Bond Index Prices: Analyzing the Bond Bear Market

In the previous article we set out to cover a new asset class: Bond investments.  We saw how by including bonds together with stocks we could improve on our portfolio performance.  Is this mixture still good given that we are now shifting in the interest rate cycle to a Bond Bear Market?  In this article we […]

Filed Under: Market Dynamics Tagged With: Backtest, Bonds, Market Timing

November 15, 2017 by Corvin Codirla 2 Comments

Trading Mean Reversion in Currencies

Trading Mean Reversion in Currencies

Mean Reversion trading works for equities; and currencies. We saw in the last article how combining two simple ideas for equities produced a stable system over the last 30 years. Can we repeat a similar analysis for currencies? Yes!  However, be warned.  Currency trading is a different magnitude of difficulty to equity trading.   Currency traders […]

Filed Under: Forex Trading Strategies Tagged With: Backtest, EURUSD, GBPUSD, Market Timing, Sharpe Ratio, Trading Systems, USDJPY

October 17, 2017 by Corvin Codirla Leave a Comment

Equities and Their Mean Reversion Habits

Equities and Their Mean Reversion Habits

At last!  We’ve made it to the mean-reverting part of the series, starting with our focus on equities and their mean-reversion habits. So, here’s the deal.  We’re going to keep it simple, just like in the previous three posts, and start from the ground up.  Over the following series we’ll culminate in a simple, straightforward […]

Filed Under: Trading Strategies Tagged With: Backtest, Market Timing, Performance Measures, Sharpe Ratio, SP500, Trading Systems

September 26, 2017 by Corvin Codirla 4 Comments

Building Consistently Profitable Trading Systems – Principles of a Successful Trading Approach, Part 1

Building Consistently Profitable Trading Systems – Principles of a Successful Trading Approach, Part 1

Would you like to build consistently profitable trading systems from scratch? This article series does exactly that.  Here are the steps which we’ll work through: Define the underlying principles of a successful trading approach Determine the assets which obey these principles Determine rule sets for trading these assets Work out a straightforward portfolio construction method […]

Filed Under: Trading Strategies Tagged With: Equities, Market Timing, SP500, Trading Systems

April 18, 2016 by Corvin Codirla Leave a Comment

Market Timing

Market Timing

Market timing refers to the fact that by judiciously choosing entry and exit methods in a given market you can out-perform buy-and-hold. The first question of course is why you should buy-and-hold in the first place. The idea stems from the equity markets.  Historically they have risen.  The famous chart of course is the S&P […]

Filed Under: Forex Trading Strategies, Trading Strategies Tagged With: Backtest, FX, Kelly, Market Timing, Sharpe Ratio, SP500, Trading Systems

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