In this article I’ll follow up from Part I, on using the UK Services PMI to trade the GBP. The questions we’ll answer are: What economic indicators for GBP are out there and which can we use? How do you set up a macro system? What does it mean to trade a basket of currencies […]
GBP, Brexit, and Fundamentals
I’ve been asked lots of questions as to how to determine the next moves in GBPUSD. There have been many arguments for a bottoming out at the current levels, as well as for a continuation given the strength of the downward move experienced post Brexit. In this article I’ll try to get a handle on […]
Fishing for Opportunity in New Markets: Chinese Futures Markets and Emerging Market FX
A favorite investment technique that has been publicized widely is trend-following. Everybody has heard of the Turtle Traders, a group of novices trained by Richard Dennis in the art of channel-breakouts, a system developed decades earlier by Richard Donchian. In this article we will look at the current performance of trend-following in the Western futures […]
Trading News Announcements Systematically: EURUSD and Non-Farm Payrolls
I’ve written several articles on what happens during news announcements, and associated quick trading strategies. But from a regular trader’s perspective, surely there must be another way to approach these things. In this article I’ll given an overview as to how to trade these news announcements in a slightly more leisurely way, and see if […]
Market Timing
Market timing refers to the fact that by judiciously choosing entry and exit methods in a given market you can out-perform buy-and-hold. The first question of course is why you should buy-and-hold in the first place. The idea stems from the equity markets. Historically they have risen. The famous chart of course is the S&P […]